Published: Jan 15, 2026

XO Market

Website

XO Market is a conviction market platform, the first of its kind. We’re creating a completely open marketplace where anyone can turn their beliefs into tradable assets, priced in real-time by collective insight.

Pre-Seed Round: $500K

Whitepaper

Important By investing in this business you agree to ourDisclaimer. All information including our rating, is provided merely for informational purposes. CryptoTotem does not provide investment advice.

Interest lvl

Updated: Jan 15, 2026

Learn more about our rating

User Rating

Medium

3/5 • 1 votes

Claim your project

Registration year2025

Ecosystems

Cosmos

What is XO Market

XO Market is a decentralized platform for permissionless conviction markets, allowing anyone to create and trade Yes/No outcome markets based on personal beliefs about any event. Users can quickly launch markets on virtually any topic, turning convictions into tradable financial positions with real stakes.

The platform uses an adaptive liquidity algorithm to ensure even niche or low-volume markets remain tradable and efficient. It features AI-driven oracles combined with decentralized arbitration mechanisms to enable fast, transparent, and tamper-resistant market resolution. Built as a sovereign rollup leveraging Celestia for data availability, XO.Market prioritizes speed, low costs, and trustless operations in the Web3 space.

Traders, market creators, and resolvers are rewarded through structured token-based incentives that scale with trading activity. Prices on the platform reflect real-time crowd consensus and conviction strength rather than just binary probabilities. XO Market aims to evolve beyond traditional prediction markets by emphasizing open, unbiased, and censorship-resistant belief trading.

XO Market Roadmap

Deliver MVP

Basic LS-LMSR Markets:

Deploy initial markets powered by the LS-LMSR.
Provide bounded-loss pricing and a small initial seed so participants can create markets and trade on outcomes.

Limited AI Resolution:

Incorporate an AI oracle to handle straightforward outcome determinations.
Temporarily rely on manual admin checks to confirm AI judgements.

Onboarding & Account Abstraction:

Introduce Web2-friendly sign-ups via Privy to reduce wallet complexity
Allow bridging and depositing of TIA, SOL, and USDC via Hyperlane [16] so early adopters can easily deposit and trade

Early Feedback Loop:

Gather user feedback on UI/UX flows in CrowdFeed, market creation, and resolution.
Identify critical pain points for subsequent phases.

Mainnet Launch

Full Oracle Integration:

Deploy the XO Oracle with MODRA’s AI-driven outcome resolution.
Automate dispute processes, replacing manual intervention with community-managed arbitration.
Enable multi-round appeals to reinforce outcome accuracy and economic security.

Advanced Market Types:

Launch index and aggregate markets for diversified forecasting across sectors and themes.
Introduce tradable market ownership, rewarding creators for attracting liquidity and enabling transfer or monetization of markets.

Broader Asset & Enterprise Support:

Expand collateral options beyond initial tokens (TIA, SOL, USDC) to major ERC-20 and SPL assets.
Provide enterprise-ready APIs for seamless integration of XO data into institutional analytics, governance dashboards, and risk management tools.
Forge strategic partnerships with enterprise analytics providers, enhancing XO’s adoption in financial and decision-making sectors.

Future Expansions

XO Token & Incentives:

Launch the XO governance token, enabling decentralized community-driven decision-making on parameters, disputes, and treasury management.
Implement staking rewards tied to juror participation, market creation, liquidity provision, and platform engagement, aligning token holder incentives with ecosystem growth.

Marketplace-as-a-Service:

Offer XO as simplified backend infrastructure, enabling external users to rapidly launch and manage their own conviction marketplaces, integrated with the existing suite of XO tools.

Advanced Analytics & Integrations:

Deliver market APIs offering comprehensive market data, historical accuracy tracking, and profitability metrics for informed user decision-making.
Enable integrations with external DeFi, governance platforms, media, and enterprise solutions, expanding XO's utility across broader markets.

DAO Governance & Decentralization:

Progressively decentralize governance through a DAO structure, supporting transparent voting, community proposals, and treasury-funded ecosystem grants to drive organic growth.

Social Layer Expansion:

Enrich social interactions with user profiles, interactive CrowdFeed features (comments, shares, leaderboards), referral incentives, and gamification, boosting community engagement and content quality.

Advanced Trading:

Introduce leveraged trading with risk-managed margin accounts and liquidation protocols, alongside advanced trade execution options (limit orders, stop-loss), empowering sophisticated forecasting strategies.